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Working papers

The Working Paper Series showcases research work being conducted at the Banque de France on the development of analytical tools for use in macroeconomic forecasting, monetary policy conduct and the safeguarding of financial stability. The papers do not necessarily reflect the position of the Banque de France or the Eurosystem.

December

Publication Working Paper Series no. 191:
Switching VARMA Term Structure Models - Extended Version
By Monfort Alain, Pegoraro Fulvio
  • Published on 12/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (516.23 KB)

November

Publication Working Paper Series no. 189:
Multi-Lag Term Structure Models with Stochastic Risk Premia
By Monfort Alain, Pegoraro Fulvio
  • Published on 11/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (792.21 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 188:
Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes
By Bertholon Henri, Monfort Alain, Pegoraro Fulvio
  • Published on 11/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (632.71 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 190:
The Dynamic Effects of Disinflation Policies.
By Collard Fabrice, Fève Patrick, Matheron Julien
  • Published on 11/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (756.5 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 187:
Two probabilistic cyclical turning point indicators for the French economy (in French)
By Adanero-donderis Marie, Darné Olivier, Ferrara Laurent
  • Published on 11/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (515.57 KB)

October

Publication Working Paper Series no. 185:
Lumpy Price Adjustments: A Microeconometric Analysis.
By Dhyne Emmanuel, Fuss Catherine, Pesaran Hashem, Sevestre Patrick
  • Published on 10/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (938.72 KB)

September

Publication Working Paper Series no. 182:
Differences in Interest Rate Policy at the ECB and the Fed: An Investigation with a Medium-Scale DSGE Model
By Smets Frank, Sahuc Jean-Guillaume
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (628.67 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 184:
Does Money Matter for the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: A DSGE Perspective
By Poilly Céline
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (761.58 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 183:
Euro Area Market Reactions to the Monetary Developments Press Release
By Coffinet Jérôme, Gouteron Sylvain
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (1.97 MB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 178:
Financial Market Liquidity and the Lender of Last Resort
By Ewerhart Christian, Valla Natacha
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (706.92 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 179:
Forced Portfolio Liquidation
By Ewerhart Christian, Valla Natacha
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (584.42 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 180:
Indirect ICT Investment
By Beretti Paul-Antoine
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (849.3 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 176:
Probability of informed trading: an empirical application to the euro overnight market rate.
By Idier Julien, Nardelli Stefano
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (1.06 MB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 181:
Testing heterogeneity within the euro area
By Jondeau Eric, Sahuc Jean-Guillaume
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (519.51 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 177:
Time-Varying Coefficients in a GMM Framework: Estimation of a Forward Looking Taylor Rule for the Federal Reserve
By partouche Harry
  • Published on 09/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (937.23 KB)

August

Publication Working Paper Series no. 175:
Does uncertainty make a time-varying natural rate of interest irrelevant for the conduct of monetary policy?
By Mésonnier Jean-Stéphane, Renne Jean-Paul
  • Published on 08/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (750 KB)

July

Publication Working Paper Series no. 174:
Global Ageing and Macroeconomic Consequences of Demographic Uncertainty in a Multi-regional Model
By Alho Juha, Borgy Vladimir
  • Published on 07/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (817.13 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 172:
Housing loans' development in France: an analysis in terms of cycles. (in French)
By Kierzenkowski Rafal, Oung Vichett
  • Published on 07/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (1.02 MB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 173:
Measuring Long-Run Exchange Rate Pass-Through. (en anglais)
By De Bandt Olivier, Banerjee Anindya, Kozluk Tomasz
  • Published on 07/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (569.42 KB)

June

Publication Working Paper Series no. 170:
Determinants of long-term interest rates in the United States and the euro area: A multivariate approach
By Idier Julien, Jardet Caroline, de Loubens Aymeric
  • Published on 06/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (1.63 MB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 166:
Microeconometric evaluation methods (in French)
By Fougère Denis
  • Published on 06/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (521.67 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 169:
The impact of financial constraints on innovation: What can be learned from a direct measure?
  • Published on 06/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (445.41 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 171:
The Monthly Index of Business Activity (MIBA): A revision (in French)
By Darné Olivier, Brunhes-Lesage Véronique
  • Published on 06/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (919.42 KB)

May

Publication Working Paper Series no. 168:
Understanding Asset Prices: Determinants and Policy Implications
  • Published on 05/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (461.17 KB)

April

Publication Working Paper Series no. 167:
Euro money market interest rates dynamics and volatility: How they respond to recent changes in the operational framework.
By Jardet Caroline, Le Fol Gaëlle
  • Published on 04/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (255.22 KB)

February

Publication Working Paper Series no. 165:
Is there a structural break in equilibrium velocity in the euro area?
By Bordes Christian, Clerc Laurent, Vêlayoudom Marimoutou
  • Published on 02/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (392.49 KB)

January

Publication Working Paper Series no. 162:
DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment
By Boivin Jean, Giannoni Marc
  • Published on 01/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (798.75 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 164:
Price setting in the euro area: Some stylised facts from Individual Producer Price
By Vermeulen Philip, Dias Daniel, Dossche Maarten, Gautier Erwan, Hernando Ignacio, Sabbatini Roberto, Stahl Harald
  • Published on 01/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (541.02 KB)
Publication Working Paper Series no. 163:
Structural Assessment of the Sacrifice Ratio and the Euro Area (in French)
  • Published on 01/01/2007
  • EN
  • PDF (571.08 KB)